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August 05, 2006

Iraq and the Blair "Spin" .....

Interesting view expressed by Her Majesty's "Man in Baghdad" in his final telegram to HM's First Minister, The Right Dishonourable Anthony Blair, would be President of the USE. Parliament would, had it been in session and not on four months of summer hols, have had a field day with this.

Far from the lovely image that our Illustrious Leader (now off to Italy on his hols and leaving that buffoon Prescott in charge!) has been presenting of a gradually "improving" situation in Iraq where we are supposedly "winning the war on insurgency", the retiring Ambassador, who is probably far more capable of assessing the situation than either Blair or the moron civil servants who prepare his "media briefings", that the country will descend into a major civil war and break up. It is not really surprising when you give this some careful thought. The country is, after all, the creation of the post First World War western imperial powers who carved up the former Ottoman Turkish Empire to create the patchwork of states we have today. While these were loosely based on the former "provinces" of the Ottoman Empire, this did not mean that they were any more "unified" states than any of the creations we have left behind in Africa. Put simply they ignored ethnic and cultural groups and boundaries, indulged in ethnic cleansing in some areas (continuing the Turkish practice agains troublesome minoroties) and mass population transplanst in others. As the world has been destabilised by the left overs of the Cold War and the absence of any really original thinking in the field of political change, we now have a country that is about implode with enormous consequences for the entire region and probably the rest of the world as well!

The spin doctors still desperately try to lead us to believe that what they are saying is "good news", but it is becoming ever more difficult for them to hide the fact that it is all unravelling and we will, I believe, see the formation in the not too distant future of a new Kurdish State in Northern Iraq (Turkey is determined to prevent that so watch that space for the next aggressive war!) and the Southern part looks set to split between native Arab and native Assyrian - and believe me there is a difference! The religious positions also complicate it enormously, since you have not just the Sunni/Shi'ite disagreement, but there are several more smaller sects of Islam present, there are numerous Jewsih communities and around 40% of the population are Christian of one brand or another and then you have the Islamic fundamentalists .....

Symptomatic of the present problem in Lebanon is tha fact that this government is trying desperately to show their sympathies lie with the Palestinians in the increasing desperate hope that they can keep Muslim opinion on board while not actually alienating Israel. This will backfire spectacularly as the UK Jewish population are increasingly targeted by pro-Palestinian (or just anti-Jewish) elements in our own society. The fact that Lebanon has brought this on itself seems to be being brushed out by our media, after all it is the Lebanese Government who allowed Hizbollah to arm and train an army on their soil. It is the Lebanese Government who allowed their territory to be used as a base from which to attack their neighbour. Pointless bleating that their civilian population is now being targetted - get the terrorists out of the population centres, disarm them and deal with them. End of war!

The middle East dilemma will continue as long as the Muslim States permit their citizens to harbour terrorists. No good in calling them freedom fighters - they are part of the global threat to every civilised society and we need to recognise this. What is the difference between an al-Qaeda backed "insurgent" bombing "pro-Western sympathisers" in Baghdad and the Hizbollah fanatic firing rockets into Israel or kidnapping Israeli citizens?

No, the Ambassador and the US General are correct, Iraq will collapse, it will break out into a civil war, and it will spread into the neighbours. Everyone in that region has a choice - disarm the terrorists, disarm them and cutail their recruiting and training. Then get around the table and sort out the peace. But, the discussion cannot start until the terrorists are disarmed and put out of business. Don't whinge about the fact that civilians are suffering - these governments know exactly who the terrorists are and where they are - so deal with them.

It is a sad reflection on the fact that our media are distinctly biased and one sided in their reporting - very little has been shown of the suffering caused by the Hizbollah attacks on Israel. Silly me, that is because our left-wing dominated media hate Israel, hate Jews and want the State of Israel destroyed. They love "victims" and the Israelis are patently the aggressors here - aren't they?

Posted by The Gray Monk at August 5, 2006 09:09 AM

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